Issue 117 – The Tokenization of 2026

With 2025 behind us, we now have some perspective on how the market is starting to shake out, and we begin to look ahead with some educated ideas of where 2026 may be heading in terms of real estate.

To look back: The year wrapped up with many legislative policy changes. Merrill Lynch’s implementation of tax plans included a mix of permanent extensions of 2017 tax cuts and new, temporary provisions that Governor Hochul and Albany sought to block. There was a lot to digest — and even more to chew on in the coming months.

Standard deductions increased, and in particular, SALT itemized deductions were temporarily raised.

But something even more notable happened: Despite predictions of slowdowns, the NYC real estate market achieved astronomical volumes and sales prices in the typically quieter summer “off-season.” This resilience reflected continued investor confidence in New York as a capitalist hub, even amid the socialist-leaning policies in city government.  

To me, one of the things that sets New York City apart — from many other cities, countries, or regions—is its core capitalist drive. Love it or hate it, it’s a fundamental motivator of human ambition. Think: Darwin’s the survival of the fittest.

What is amazing as well is that anyone from anywhere on the planet can come here and reinvent themselves, building wealth and forging a new identity, including a family legacy. Real estate has proven to be one of the most effective vehicles for generating strong, long-term wealth, so why wouldn’t it also become one of the biggest commodities to trade in the world? Spoiler alert: It has.

I, too, was an immigrant who came to this country with little more than a dream and a drive — which were everything. Like many, I’ve transformed my life through the American Dream, recreating myself in a place with no preconceived history and glass ceiling.

While I can’t predict what will unfold in NYC with our incoming mayor (Zohran Mamdani, who takes office on January 1, 2026), I can emphasize how important the dream of bettering oneself with hard work, gumption, and heart remains. The American Dream should stay at the forefront of all our city and state policies, regardless of who is in office. Whether capitalist or socialist in outlook, countless immigrants like me have come to NYC from far-off places to build something lasting. We have integrated and rallied through periods of discord and disconnection, finding equilibrium in our adopted home.

In a spirited way, these vignettes create a very rich tapestry for the year ahead.

One of the key predictions I see for 2026 is: Gone are the days of “listing gatekeeping.” The ‘Tokenization of 2026’ refers to a widely anticipated inflection point (not tied to a single law or event) in which real-world assets, including real estate, move at scale onto blockchain platforms, functioning like digital securities.

Tokenized assets are traded on open yet regulated (permissioned) platforms, providing qualified buyers with direct access to offerings. As a result, fractional ownership lowers barriers, removing the question of “who can afford it.”

This year favors a broker who can interpret data like an analyst, negotiate like a diplomat, and market property like a tech entrepreneur.

Our buyers expect real-time valuations, AI-powered negotiations, 3D-visualizations that vary by time of day, and predictive due diligence — all before they ever view a property in person. 

In that vein, tokenized title transfer and instant cross-border settlement will speed up transactions. Crypto and other blockchain technologies free transactions from the limitations of “bankers’ hours.” Additionally, fractional ownership makes luxury properties accessible to different forms of acquisition.

The traditional 90-day closing process will become obsolete in 2026. Brokers who are unable to deliver a 10-year ROI, carbon efficiency commentary, or local political risk assessment in under 30 seconds will be left behind. Closing within seven days (or less) will be the new standard; anything lower will be considered outdated. 

Merely keeping pace will be as if you are lagging behind. So, here’s to a dynamic, fast-paced, and prosperous year ahead!

I would like to acknowledge all the people in our sphere who have trusted us with their transactions — some laughing, much learning, and definitely growing together along the way. Each one of you has made a profound impact! Thank you to each deal which has been an opportunity for us to expand and cultivate more knowledge and reach by you. 

As we enter 2026 and beyond, I would like to wish you a meaningful year filled with empathy, momentum, and joy — forward, together.

Issue 122 – Foreign Demand Re-Emerges as Luxury Buyers Underwrite Political Risk

As we head into summer, we are seeing a very notable resurgence of international buyers entering the New York market — and frankly, in a way we haven’t seen in years.

Let’s explore why.

Historically, global capital gravitates toward stability, discretion, and internationally recognized assets. In New York City, that typically translates to park-facing residences, trophy properties, and globally recognizable “name-brand” buildings. These include Aman, Four Seasons, Related developments, and legacy Park Avenue or Central Park South product with strong service infrastructure and long-term value preservation.

Right now, buyers are looking for quality, security, and assets that feel insulated in uncertain times. NYC, despite all the headlines, remains a strong, long-term store of value internationally.

When there is instability abroad, New York City benefits. It offers legal transparency, deep liquidity, world-class education, finance, culture, and healthcare — and a real estate market that, while imperfect, is still well understood around the world.

What’s different now is that buyers are not necessarily purchasing because they think New York is “hot.” They are buying because New York is established. That is an important distinction: the capital is less speculative and more preservation-oriented. For many international families, a New York apartment is part lifestyle asset, part hedge, part legacy planning.

The headlines about wealthy buyers fleeing New York City are often too simplistic. Yes, some buyers have moved capital to Florida, Texas, or other lower-tax markets. But that does not mean New York has lost its global relevance.

The newly announced pied-a-terre/second-home tax in New York targets luxury second homes valued at $5 million or more, with the goal of creating an annual surcharge on non-primary residences. This proposal is certainly something international buyers are paying attention to, though it remains to be seen if this will impact continued investment. Rather than eliminating foreign demand, the tax likely makes buyers more selective, becoming part of the broader cost-of-ownership analysis alongside the mansion tax, carrying costs, and currency exposure. It may create pause around marginal purchases, but for a trophy asset, it won’t stop the buyer. It simply raises the bar for what feels worth owning.

The concern is less the dollar amount itself and more the perception. International buyers are highly sensitive to whether a market feels welcoming, predictable, and stable. Policy often moves perception before it moves fundamentals.

We’re consistently seeing foreign buyers generally gravitate toward turnkey product. The appetite for renovation or operational complexity is far lower than it once was. Buyers want ease, service, security, and a property that immediately translates internationally, both from a branding and lifestyle standpoint. For these global buyers, New York remains one of the few carrying both emotional and financial prestige.

Enter: Japanese buyers. The Real Deal recently reported a massive resurgence in Japanese capital, providing a lifeline to aging multifamily walk-ups. “Japan-linked firms have acquired at least $2.1 billion worth of New York City property since the start of 2024, according to analysis by Okada & Company and TRD Data,” the piece details.

This surge is driven by a stark yield gap: With low interest rates at home, Japanese buyers can borrow cheaply in Japan to acquire higher-yielding assets, a strategy supercharged by domestic tax incentives for multi-family purchases.

We are also seeing diversifying residential demand from Australian, Brazilian, Taiwanese, and Western Europe buyers. Eastern European activity is still highly selective compared to prior cycles, but international demand as a whole has undeniably re-entered the market. The usual suspects — such as Central Park South, Tribeca, Billionaire’s Row, and select Downtown properties — remain the primary anchors.

Target price points for these foreign investors vary by country of origin and the purchase’s purpose, with the most active international demand falling into clear segments:.

The serious lifestyle buyer ($3M to $7M): Typically targets a strong two or three bedrooms in a premier building, prioritizing service, security, and an easy lock-and-leave lifestyle.

The wealth-preservation buyer ($7M to $15M+): Focuses heavily on blue-chip locations — Central Park, Fifth Avenue, Park Avenue, Tribeca, Billionaires’ Row — or globally recognized branded residences.

The ultra-high-net-worth buyer: Prioritizes the asset above any price point, focusing on scarcity, pedigree, privacy, views, service, and long-term relevance. They are not asking, “Is this affordable?” They are asking, “Will this matter 10 years from now?”

Today’s foreign buyer is much more disciplined. They want turnkey and certainty. They want building quality, service quality, financial stability, and a residence that translates globally.

The biggest shift is that foreign buyers are not chasing the market — they are underwriting it. They are asking better questions: What are the monthly carrying costs? Who is the resale audience? How strong is the building financially? How liquid is this asset? Does this location hold value in multiple cycles?

Overall, cultural nuance matters more than ever. Buyers are underwriting not just the apartment, but NYC itself.

Five years ago, there was still more appetite for optionality — buyers were more willing to consider renovation, new development premiums, or speculative upside.

On the Japanese side specifically, what I’m noticing is a renewed comfort level with NYC real estate as a legacy asset class. The buyers I’m seeing tend to be highly analytical, long-term focused, and extremely quality-driven. They’re not chasing hype — they’re buying permanence.

The Brazilian and Australian buyers we’re seeing tend to be incredibly lifestyle-oriented while still highly aware of long-term value, whereas many Western European buyers continue to prioritize pedigree buildings, architecture, privacy, and stability. Taiwanese buyers similarly appear very focused on security, quality, and established global positioning.

For foreign investors, New York City still represents something very specific: legal stability, cultural prestige, liquidity, access, education, healthcare, and global identity. The buyers I’m seeing are not ignoring the headlines. They are simply looking past them when the asset is strong enough.

New York is no longer a market where everything trades easily. It is a precision market. But for the right property — the right building, the right view, the right service, the right location — foreign buyers are still very much there.

The common denominator across almost all of them is that they are buying selectively — but decisively — when the product feels globally relevant.

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