Issue 117 – The Tokenization of 2026

With 2025 behind us, we now have some perspective on how the market is starting to shake out, and we begin to look ahead with some educated ideas of where 2026 may be heading in terms of real estate.

To look back: The year wrapped up with many legislative policy changes. Merrill Lynch’s implementation of tax plans included a mix of permanent extensions of 2017 tax cuts and new, temporary provisions that Governor Hochul and Albany sought to block. There was a lot to digest — and even more to chew on in the coming months.

Standard deductions increased, and in particular, SALT itemized deductions were temporarily raised.

But something even more notable happened: Despite predictions of slowdowns, the NYC real estate market achieved astronomical volumes and sales prices in the typically quieter summer “off-season.” This resilience reflected continued investor confidence in New York as a capitalist hub, even amid the socialist-leaning policies in city government.  

To me, one of the things that sets New York City apart — from many other cities, countries, or regions—is its core capitalist drive. Love it or hate it, it’s a fundamental motivator of human ambition. Think: Darwin’s the survival of the fittest.

What is amazing as well is that anyone from anywhere on the planet can come here and reinvent themselves, building wealth and forging a new identity, including a family legacy. Real estate has proven to be one of the most effective vehicles for generating strong, long-term wealth, so why wouldn’t it also become one of the biggest commodities to trade in the world? Spoiler alert: It has.

I, too, was an immigrant who came to this country with little more than a dream and a drive — which were everything. Like many, I’ve transformed my life through the American Dream, recreating myself in a place with no preconceived history and glass ceiling.

While I can’t predict what will unfold in NYC with our incoming mayor (Zohran Mamdani, who takes office on January 1, 2026), I can emphasize how important the dream of bettering oneself with hard work, gumption, and heart remains. The American Dream should stay at the forefront of all our city and state policies, regardless of who is in office. Whether capitalist or socialist in outlook, countless immigrants like me have come to NYC from far-off places to build something lasting. We have integrated and rallied through periods of discord and disconnection, finding equilibrium in our adopted home.

In a spirited way, these vignettes create a very rich tapestry for the year ahead.

One of the key predictions I see for 2026 is: Gone are the days of “listing gatekeeping.” The ‘Tokenization of 2026’ refers to a widely anticipated inflection point (not tied to a single law or event) in which real-world assets, including real estate, move at scale onto blockchain platforms, functioning like digital securities.

Tokenized assets are traded on open yet regulated (permissioned) platforms, providing qualified buyers with direct access to offerings. As a result, fractional ownership lowers barriers, removing the question of “who can afford it.”

This year favors a broker who can interpret data like an analyst, negotiate like a diplomat, and market property like a tech entrepreneur.

Our buyers expect real-time valuations, AI-powered negotiations, 3D-visualizations that vary by time of day, and predictive due diligence — all before they ever view a property in person. 

In that vein, tokenized title transfer and instant cross-border settlement will speed up transactions. Crypto and other blockchain technologies free transactions from the limitations of “bankers’ hours.” Additionally, fractional ownership makes luxury properties accessible to different forms of acquisition.

The traditional 90-day closing process will become obsolete in 2026. Brokers who are unable to deliver a 10-year ROI, carbon efficiency commentary, or local political risk assessment in under 30 seconds will be left behind. Closing within seven days (or less) will be the new standard; anything lower will be considered outdated. 

Merely keeping pace will be as if you are lagging behind. So, here’s to a dynamic, fast-paced, and prosperous year ahead!

I would like to acknowledge all the people in our sphere who have trusted us with their transactions — some laughing, much learning, and definitely growing together along the way. Each one of you has made a profound impact! Thank you to each deal which has been an opportunity for us to expand and cultivate more knowledge and reach by you. 

As we enter 2026 and beyond, I would like to wish you a meaningful year filled with empathy, momentum, and joy — forward, together.

Issue 123 – The NYC Pied-à-Terre Tax and its Implications on the Real Estate Market

Lately, we have been hearing the slogan “Tax the Rich” frequently. This is often espoused in reference to the newly implemented pied-à-terre tax in NYC.

It implies the rich aren’t paying taxes. The reality is quite different. Yes, there are some very wealthy people who pay far less in taxes than others earning the same or similar amounts. But New York City taxpayers pay the most local taxes in all of the U.S. The laws that need to be addressed are federal ones, not local. The loopholes touted are affecting just a select few, when in reality most high-net-worth folks are indeed paying a lot of taxes — especially New Yorkers, who pay $21 billion more to the state every year than the state spends on NYC.

The latest controversy stems from New York City’s enactment of a pied-à-terre tax—an annual surcharge on high-value homes that are not used as a primary residence. If you own a luxury second home in the city, you may now have a recurring tax exposure on top of other friction costs. The tax is also an annual recurring fee, not a one-time hit like the mansion or transfer tax, which makes it more pervasive.

According to a recent report by the NYC Comptroller, the legislation is expected to phase in from July 1, 2026, through June 30, 2028 (fiscal years 2026—2028), with the first phase focused on city “market value” thresholds. Early reporting indicates that the tax applies broadly to high-end second homes and provides different treatment for single-family homes versus co-ops and condos. For houses valued at roughly $5 million or more, the surcharge has been reported at 0.8%–1.3%. For co-ops and condos, the initial phase appears tied to Department of Finance values starting around $1 million, which can translate into a much higher market sale price.

I am seeing a lot of confusion about how this will be implemented. Essentially, people believe that any sales price over $5 million will be affected, when in fact Phase 1 will be based on land value, not the transactional equivalent sale price. For example, a property valued at $844,000 may not be captured by the pied-à-terre tax. It’s less than $1 million and nowhere near $5 million.

However, Phase 2 (for fiscal years 2028–2031, beginning July 1, 2028) becomes a much more speculative concern. Early indications suggest that the tax will be based on the more transactional side of things. It may even work on factoring a five-year average; we simply don’t know yet.

Some savvy buyers are trying to close before Phase 1 starts. Others are trying to keep their price below $5 million and then essentially work any credits as a side agreement to avoid the potential second-phase hit.

As Business Insider reported, “In its first two years, the tax will rely on Department of Finance ‘assessed values’ to determine which homes will face a new charge, while the city and state work out a new valuation system.”

Likewise, a recent CNBC segment details: “Billionaire and Citadel CEO Ken Griffin became the face of the tax after New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani posted a video in front of Griffin’s penthouse apartment announcing the tax.”

I believe the pied-à-terre tax punishes people who use our services less than full-time residents. They also pay massive transfer and mansion taxes and typically don’t use our schools — a huge portion of real estate tax revenues.

My view is that this will not destroy the New York market, but it will absolutely change behavior at the margins. Buyers are already more sensitive to carrying costs, monthly common charges, assessments, the mansion tax, financing costs, and now an additional annual second-home tax. The psychological impact may be just as important as the financial one.

The highest end of the market will feel this first. For discretionary buyers, especially those comparing NYC to Palm Beach, Miami, Aspen, London, or other global luxury markets, this becomes another line item in the decision-making process. It may not stop a true New York buyer, but it may slow them down, sharpen their negotiations, or push them toward renting instead of buying.

As a result, I expect high-end rentals to benefit. A buyer who wants a New York City presence but does not want the tax complexity may choose to rent a trophy apartment instead. That could strengthen demand for luxury rentals, especially furnished, turnkey, white-glove inventory.

For co-ops, the impact may be more nuanced. Co-ops already have a smaller buyer pool because of board scrutiny, financing restrictions, and liquidity requirements. If the tax makes second-home buyers more cautious, certain high-end co-ops may feel additional pressure, especially those with significant monthly maintenance or less flexible sublet policies. That said, as I always point out, the very best buildings with scarcity, provenance, service, and location will still hold value.

I have not yet seen a wave of people selling solely because of this tax, but I have absolutely seen buyers pause, ask sharper questions, and reconsider the total cost of ownership. The conversation has shifted from “What is the purchase price?” to “What is my all-in annual exposure?”

Other markets have tried versions of second-home or vacancy-style taxes, with mixed results. In some places, they created revenue and pushed underused housing back into circulation. In others, they caused buyers to become more cautious or redirected capital elsewhere. New York is different because it remains New York — but the city cannot assume that capital is captive.

Again, citing Business Insider, “Hochul and Mamdani estimated the tax could raise $500 million.”

So, are there any benefits? Potentially. If the revenue is used responsibly, it could support city services and housing priorities. It may also create a clearer distinction between end-user demand and purely discretionary ownership. But from a market perspective, the risk is that it adds friction at a time when the luxury buyer is already highly selective.

My advice to second-home buyers is simple: do not overreact, but underwrite carefully. Understand whether the property will be classified as a primary residence or pied-à-terre. Review the building’s carrying costs, taxes, assessments, liquidity requirements, and resale profile. Buy quality, buy scarcity, and buy something you would be comfortable owning through a softer market.

It’s important to keep all in perspective: Mayors come and go, and when you start impacting the very hands that feed you in one of the most capitalistic cities that ripple through the nation, I think we stand the test of time on how we are going to navigate this.

The New York City buyer is not disappearing. But the casual, optional buyer now has one more reason to pause — and in this market, that matters.

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